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Visit Alamos Mexico  |  Community  |  Alamos Weather (Moderator: Weather Guy)  |  Topic: Now, Hello Hurricane Jimena
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Weather Guy
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« on: August 28, 2015, 11:06:18 PM »

Since Hurricane Delores there have been up to Hurricane Ignacio, only weak slow developing storms, all headed west toward Hawaii. While Hurricane Jimena is also headed that way, it is expected to stay at Cat 3 and 4 strength throughout the weekend to become the 4th major hurricane of the season in the Eastern Pacific. With a possibility of reaching Cat 5 and challenge Hurricane Linda, from 1997, as the strongest ever that far north!  This storm is not expected to affect any land mass but may provide some spectacular images of a strong pacific hurricane. More on this storm on Monday.

Look for both July and August rain totals soon.

The Weather Guy
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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2015, 08:51:58 PM »

...but first the promised tropical storm news, as Wikipedia tells it. "Tropical Storm Kilo strengthened into a hurricane while Ignacio and Jimena were being named. Late on August 29th, all three storms exploded into Category 4 major hurricanes. The three major hurricanes on August 29th were the first time in the historical record that three or more major hurricanes existed simultaneously in the Pacific, east of the International Date Line (180ºW)." See attached photo.

On May 27th, NOAA released its forecast for the year, "highlighting a 70% chance of an above-average season with 15–22 named storms, (19 to date) 7–12 hurricanes (11 to date), 5–8 (8 already) major hurricanes". And above average it has been with Linda reaching Cat 3 this week she becomes the 8th major hurricane this season. Along with the hat trick of three Cat 4 storms it has been anything but boring for Pacific storm watchers. Not to mention that there are 2 1/2 more months until the end of the Pacific Tropical Storm season.

A few weeks back some folks were concerned that our rainy season was over.  I'm happy to report not yet.  Here are the monthly totals for this season for PWS Centro.

June    3.26"
July     7.06"
Aug     7.01"
Sept    2.60" through 10-09-2015

Total  19.93" with across town over 23" recorded.

Wild weather caution: Tuesday nights storm had a lightening strike at the Hacienda de los Santos which thankfully hurt no one but took out modems in Perico and the hotel. The Weather Guy saw it and was afraid!  Remember when extra violent storms approach, it is recommended to disconnect your electronic devices.

The Weather Guy



* kilo-ignacio-jimena-1000Z-8_30_15.jpg (140.1 KB, 780x346 - viewed 220 times.)
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Weather Guy
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2015, 09:22:36 AM »

Since last Friday PWS Centro got 2 3/8" of rain from a strong tropical depression TD 16E, that formed west of the Baja crossing the sea of Cortez and dumping on Sonora.  Schools were closed across the state, Hermosillo got over 6" of rain and near tropical force winds battered Guaymas and San Carlos. Around Alamos some folks recorded over 2 1/2". This storm was not a typical slow moving system forming south of Acapulco but a fast moving Chubasco which formed not far from the tip of the Baja. See Dr. Masters blog link for the complete blow by blow and impressive images of what was a significant storm for the region.

 http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3120

This was the 1st time that I remember a TD was the headline for Dr. Masters blog!

The Weather Guy
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2015, 07:52:42 PM »

...down south in a more typical area for tropical development in the ITCZ. After over a week without any weather systems including one day without any named storms on the planet, we suddenly have several new developing systems! but first the details "in quotes is by Dr. Masters from the attached link.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3126

" ...Our three top models for predicting tropical cyclone genesis predict that an area of disturbed weather about 400 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico (Invest 93E) will develop into a tropical depression on Sunday or Monday." That was posted at 300 GMT today Saturday, by 2100 it had become TD 17E and is poised to give Acapulco a very soggy weekend.

"... Another area of disturbed weather ... along the coast near the Mexico/Guatemala border (Invest 92E) is drifting slowly to the west, and will bring heavy rains to El Salvador, southern Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the next few days."

And not to be left out, closer to home, "Yet another area of concern is an area of low pressure that the models predict will form on Monday or Tuesday about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula."

Hang on to your hats campers, I certainly could not say for sure, but, we may be seeing the beginning of a period with a bunch of late season storms.

The star over the 24 hours will be Tropical Storm Niala approaching Hawaii,"the record 7th named storm to form in 2015 in the North Central Pacific". Which is the headline of todays blog from Dr. Masters, above, good stuff and much more cool information.

Thanks again to all you readers and PW for his reply, 64 views, most yet in less than a week!

The Weather Guy

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ODwyerPW
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2015, 09:54:43 AM »

Just like last year, another good year of rain for Alamos... 22 to 25 inches depending on where you are counting for the monsoon season alone! Had a few surprises in the spring as well (couple inches, no?). Great for the growers and ranchers.

Thanks for the weather reports Weather Guy!
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