Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?


Login with username, password and session length

Visit Alamos Mexico  |  Community  |  Alamos Weather (Moderator: Weather Guy)  |  Topic: June Rain !
Pages: [1]   Go Down
  Print  
Author Topic: June Rain !  (Read 899 times)
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
Weather Guy
Global Moderator
Member less than 250 posts
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 118


« on: June 25, 2015, 12:46:21 AM »

Our rainy season is off to an early start with three good gully washers all ready. We have had so far a total of 2.33" from these events with some impressive downpours. Here are the numbers:

Sun the   7th .67" with a 20 minute period with nearly 1/2" and peak rain rate near 3" per hour.
Sat  the 20th .90" with a 20 minute period with nearly 3/4" and peak rain rate near 4" per hour.
Wed the 24th .68" with a 30 minute period with over a 1/2" and peak rain rate near 3" per hour.

Peak rain rate is the total amount of rain that would accumulate in 1 hour if it were to continue at that rate.  In the last three years PWS Centro has recorded rates up to nearly 7" per hour.

We apologize for the PWS going dark after last Saturday's storm. The 5 hours without power exceeded the time that servers has the ability to reboot, and we were out of town during the week.

Rain is forecast in Alamos, with a possibility of thunderstorms, for everyday throughout the coming 10 day period, except for tomorrow Friday.

Happy Feast of San Juan, hug a Paskola dancer today for good luck,

The Weather Guy
Logged
Weather Guy
Global Moderator
Member less than 250 posts
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 118


« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2015, 11:10:36 AM »

June rain totals are in with PWS Centro recording 3.26", and with over 4" from other sites around the pueblo. July started off with a couple of nice downpours but has been dry since last weekend, but not to worry. This morning Tropical Depression Five-E has formed off the coast of Mexico, SSE of Acapulco, becoming the fifth tropical cyclone in the Pacific Basin to be active at one time, and should be at TS strength by tomorrow. Not to be left out of the record book, sometime this weekend, you could even see as many as six tropical cyclones spinning in the Pacific Basin at one time. In his blog Dr. Masters discusses that "Although it's not unheard of to see multiple storms at the same time, this is impressive on any scale". Predicted to be a fast moving storm TD Five-E may bring us more rain early this week. Predicted track is quite close to the mainland and TWG will be watching closely. For the full discussion see:

http://www.wunderground.com/news/five-tropical-cyclones-pacific-july2015

http://www.wunderground.com/news/typhoon-chanhom-china-shanghai-okinawa-jul2015

Stay Tuned to find out TD Five-E's name!
The Weather Guy
Logged
Weather Guy
Global Moderator
Member less than 250 posts
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 118


« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2015, 12:53:52 AM »

As expected Tropical Storm Delores spun up Sunday morning out of TD Five-E, and should reach hurricane strength late tomorrow, Monday. The predictive models agree closely with a close, couple hundred miles out, track along the coast from Acapulco to PV then heading out and away to the NW, South of the Baja. In Alamos we caught somewhat more than 1/8" with a nice downpour after sundown. Not a gully washer but a pleasant rain! This moisture appeared to be unanticipated early outflow from this storm, and more on the way looks likely, ojala, we will see.

West of Dolores is TD Six-E, which should reach TS tomorrow also, approaching the Double Hat Trick of six named Tropical Cyclones at the same time in the entire Pacific Basin.

Dolores continues to move along at 10MPH so we will see a good distance covered in the next few days, stay tuned for the next update when Cat 1 winds show up.

The Weather Guy
Logged
Weather Guy
Global Moderator
Member less than 250 posts
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 118


« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2015, 08:43:08 PM »

As one of the fastest strengthening storms Delores went from a Tropical Storm to a Cat 4 Major Hurricane in little over two days! See link below to Dr. Masters in depth description of Dolores in which he says. "A pulse of rapid intensification late Tuesday and early Wednesday pushed Hurricane Dolores to borderline Category 4 intensity in the Northeast Pacific. Dolores’s peak winds surged from 85 mph at 3:00 pm EDT Tuesday to 130 mph at 3:00 am Wednesday, which translates to a leap from Category 1 to Category 4 status in just 12 hours."

In Alamos we saw rain on Sunday and again yesterday, about .30" total, some folks with a little more. Tomorrow thru Saturday we stand a shot at receiving the outflow of Dolores as she slows, that may produce a bit of rain, over the next few days.

Do take time to check out the complete discussion. In it Dr. Masters explains what the conditions are that have produced a storm year, in the entire Pacific Basin, for the record book so far!

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3044

The Weather Guy
Logged
Weather Guy
Global Moderator
Member less than 250 posts
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 118


« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2015, 12:18:50 AM »

Hurricane Dolores is now Tropical Depression Dolores is all but gone, however, not done with the record book, and is approaching Los Angeles.  Moisture from the storm is affecting the entire southwest. Here some quotes from Wunderground.com. "San Diego recorded 1.03 inches Saturday, breaking the city's rainfall record for the entire month of July – not just for a day in July, but the whole month's total. The previous record had been 0.92 inch for July 1-31, 1902. Futher, "On top of that, the waters off the U.S. West Coast are also far warmer than average, and we have a tropical storm moving farther north and closer to the Mexican coast than most others in the historical record this early in the season," said weather.com senior meteorologist Nick Wiltgen.

Not to forget last week, out west of Dolores, was TD Six-E, which did become TS Enrique by Monday morning. Typhon Chan-hom came ashore as a TS, in North Korea around the same time, thus completing the Double Hat Trick of six named Tropical Cyclones at the same time in the entire Pacific Basin.

Here in Alamos we got a bonified gully washer Thursday night. Up to 3" inches of rain in about 5 hours around town. Tonight we are getting an off and on cloudburst with so far .20" at 11:45 PM. With 4" this month, we are at 7" since June 1. Tomorrow and Monday should be clear with chance of rain increasing Tuesday afternoon and on thru the week.

The Weather Guy

Logged
Weather Guy
Global Moderator
Member less than 250 posts
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 118


« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2015, 11:04:05 PM »

Dolores finally closed her book with a body slam to SoCal, taking out Interstate 10 in the doing, over the weekend. Her swan song performance, characterized as "super historic" by one local forecaster, broke July rain records throughout the region.

The persistent thread, in what to date has been record breaking TS season, is the strengthening El Nino. So what is a strengthening El Nino you may ask? Well it is one that is not strong yet is the answer.  As silly as that sounds we are about to find out soon, if it is strong yet.  The measure of strength is the temperature above normal of the surface of the ocean, called SST, for a given month. If the current temperature increase is maintained, till the end of this month, we will be in a strong El Nino year, that is already approaching the record set in 1997-98. Interesting, however coincidental, is that the tropical storms that year had the same set of names as this year. What is of significance was the number of Tropical Storms, 26 with 11 becoming hurricanes, including Hurricane Pauline that hopscotched along the Southwest coast of Mexico with disastrous result, and has been retired from the list of names because of the destruction and loss of life that were it's result.

Included here is a link to an article that goes more in depth than you may need about El Ninos, but the video at the end is interesting and entertaining, you might like it.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/07/20/el-nino-intensifying-could-rival-strongest-in-history/

Here is another article that gives the wrap up on Dolores and more discussion of El Ninos, with an amazing video from 1939, also a El Nino year, of a hurricane that did get all the way to SoCal.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3050

If you don't have TV I hope you find this stuff interesting.  If you do have TV and find it interesting you will want to check out, "beginning on August 24, the launch of the "Weather Underground" live cable TV show airing weekdays from 6-8 p.m. ET on The Weather Channel. The new show will appeal to everyone’s inner weather geek, featuring unique insights into the science behind weather and forecasting".

Here in Alamos we have enjoyed, assuming your roof does not leak, a rainy couple of nights.  Currently, its 10:30 Wednesday evening, we are approaching 2" of rain in the last 24 hours with more than 5.5" this month and nearly 9" since June 1st. With tomorrow and Friday predicted to bring up to another 1".

The Weather Guy



Logged
Weather Guy
Global Moderator
Member less than 250 posts
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 118


« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2015, 12:43:04 PM »

Since Hurricane Delores there have been up to TS Ignacio, only weak slow developing storms, all headed west toward Hawaii. While Hurricane Jimena is also headed that way, but it is expected to stay at Cat 3 and 4 strength throughout the weekend to become the 4th major hurricane of the season in the Eastern Pacific. With a possibility of reaching Cat 5 and challenge Hurricane Linda, from 1997, as the strongest ever that far north!  More on this storm on Monday.

Look for both July and August rain totals soon.

The Weather Guy
Logged
ODwyerPW
Member less than 50 posts
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 38



WWW
« Reply #7 on: July 27, 2015, 04:27:34 PM »

What are the rain totals so far for the season (June and July).  We had rain 9 out of 12 nights here in La Huerta (north east of the airport).
Logged

learning never stops
Pages: [1]   Go Up
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines | Cityscape design by Bloc | XHTML | CSS