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Visit Alamos Mexico  |  Community  |  Alamos Weather (Moderator: Weather Guy)  |  Topic: Goodby Norbert '14 ... Hello Odile
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Weather Guy
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« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2014, 04:25:42 PM »

... How do you do!
The mild mannered Tropical Storm Simon, that formed on Thursday, this afternoon, unpredictably, has manifested itself into the history book as the 8th major Hurricane of 2014. Simone is currently at Category 3 with winds above 120 MPH. This in the middle of the Cat 3 range and it may strengthen some what but is likely at it strongest this afternoon. Check out the WonderMap feature and time lapse Simon over the last day or so and see it go from TD to Cat 3 in about 3 days, impressive! The quote below is from  wunderground.com, by forecaster Beven.

"Simon is the eighth major hurricane of the 2014 eastern North Pacific hurricane season.  This ties the record for major hurricanes set in 1983, 1992, and 1993."

At this point Simon is considered no threat to land other than rain which played out yesterday in SW Mexico.  Only small amounts were recorded in Los Cabos B.C.S. today. There is one scenario which has Simon as a weakening TS hitting Baja, around the state lines, late next week.

In Alamos, our wunderground prediction is for a good chance of rain this weekend, ojala.

The rain for September in Centro was 5.5" with somewhat greater levels from other neighborhoods.  Total rain this season in Centro is 22.76".

Long time residents are predicting a cold winter and the temperature to drop quickly after the next rain. Saturday is the Feast day of Saint Francis, traditionally a weekend of celebration with harvest foods, and the expectation of the last storm of the season called, St. Francis' storm.

More rain data as it comes in,

The Weather Guy

This is a pretty hurricane!








* Simon 04-10-14.jpg (112.64 KB, 640x480 - viewed 208 times.)
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2014, 09:04:50 AM »

The Summer rain season ended predictably Sunday October 4th with just a sprinkle in the morning. Here are the rain totals by month from 3 locations around Alamos Centro. The Weather Guy sends out a big thank you to our associate rain data gathers as this information gives a better picture of total rain for Alamos.

MONTH                CENTRO   CHIHUAHUA   GALENA
JUNE                             2.1       
JULY                             7.9       
AUGUST                     7.2               8.4               8.0
SEPTEMBER             5.5               5.6               6.5
OCTOBER                     0.01        0                       0
YEAR TO DATE            22.7              25.4             26.3


But wait! While our Summer season is over wunderground is tracking an area of disturbed weather that has been rated at 80% chance of development over the next 5 days as a tropical storm. Although some distance off the coast of Mexico at this time, the current predictive models show possible landfall late Sunday in northern Sinaloa. Weather Guy will have eyes on this development and will update accordingly.

The Weather Guy
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2014, 01:55:02 PM »

and Hurricane Vance!

It's raining and the Weather Guy is not sure if it is Summer or Winter rain but we like it.  Also the weather disturbance that has been developing all week, this morning became Hurricane Vance, still far off shore but predicted to reach Category 2 by tomorrow morning. To soon to tell if Vance will bring any rain or wind to Alamos, but it may later in the week.  The rain we are getting right now has come from the North via Phoenix and Tucson. It is part of a large system reaching down from the Pacific NW and is predicted to give some rain today and tomorrow.

Stay tuned, looks to be an interesting week,

The Weather Guy
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2014, 06:34:30 PM »

Hurricane Vance has put on a feisty performance over the last 2 days and at post time is steady at 110 MPH, a strong Cat 2 storm!  While likely the storm's swan song we are some days from the finale! Already high rain fall is predicted for Mexico from PV to Texas over the next few days. Around Thursday Vance will approach land near Mazatl├ín as a Tropical Depression, or perhaps stronger.  At this point NHC gives only a small percentage chance of the storm coming on land as a TS.

The answer to the Winter rain or Summer rain question, is yes.  The rain yesterday, Sunday was a winter storm approaching from the US.  The rain today, is Summer rain coming from outflow of Vance. Go figure?

Storm total is .86", .56" Sunday and .3" Today, with some what greater levels around town.

The Weather Guy


* vance-nov3.jpg (118.54 KB, 750x580 - viewed 104 times.)
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2014, 10:09:16 AM »

...and a report of an unusual weather event.
A new ".... area of disturbed weather (that) has the potential for tropical development", which tailed hurricane Vance last week, has started to move predictably northward. Not yet a TD it is still south of PV moving at a brisk 15 MPH. It is expected to make land fall on southern Sinaloa Tuesday.  There is a possibility of rain in Alamos, from this storm, Wednesday thru Friday. The Weather Guy will be watching this storm as we are still expecting at least one more November Strom which could possibly become a hurricane.

See below what is referred to as a Medicane, a tropical storm which formed this week in the Mediterranean Ocean. This is a rare event normally occurring every 20 years or so.  This storm brought flooding rain the island of Malta and near hurricane force winds onshore.  See Dr. Jeff Masters' blog on the Severe Weather page in wunderground.com for more info. Also here is a wiki link he recommended as reference.

The Weather Guy


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mediterranean_tropical_cyclone




* medicane-modis-nov7.jpg (158.26 KB, 750x568 - viewed 79 times.)

* medicane-modis-nov7.jpg (158.26 KB, 750x568 - viewed 77 times.)
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