So what happened to Agatha? In TWG’s last blog on June 6th, you may recall, predicted the possible development of our 1st named storm for 2016 by mid-June! It was not until July 2nd, the Eastern Pacific developed Tropical Storm Agatha, followed by Category 4 Hurricane Blas, Category 2 Hurricane Celia, Category 3 Hurricane Darby, Tropical Storm Estelle, Category 1 Hurricane Frank and Category 4 Hurricane Georgette.
The following is taken from several postings of Dr. Masters recent blogs https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3372
“The seven named storms in the month of July tied a record set in 1985 for the most July storms on record in the basin.” We had a chance to break the record with an eighth named storm, if it formed by Sunday. This storm, that has been named Howard, did not reach tropical storm strength until around 3:00 AM MST, Monday. “Howard is expected to move west-northwest toward Hawaii and not impact Mexico.”
“Southeast of Howard, the next in the conga line of East Pacific storms soon develop from Invest 92E, currently TD Ten-E, will be Tropical Storm Ivette—which would make it the ninth named storm for the East Pacific in just five weeks!” Invest 92E, was classified on Monday, is predicted to reach TS strength by Wednesday morning and become a Cat 1 Hurricane by Friday. It is too soon to predict if this storm will approach the Hawaiian Islands.
“This puts us far ahead of climatology: the Eastern Pacific usually does not see its seventh named storm until August 7, its fifth hurricane until August 26, and its third major hurricane until September 20.” It is worth noting that, while 2016 will likely pale in comparison to last year’s 31 named storms and 16 hurricanes, there are still records to be broken this season.
So now, what about our rain in Alamos:
From the start of our rainy season in June we only had one good storm which came on the 29th thru July 1st, with more than 3.5” over the 3 days. With only light rain over the next 10 days the next storm came on July 25th with .80” and several days following with ~ 50” or so. To date, since June 1st, TWG has recorded 7.65” with other sites around Alamos recording as much as 9.5”.
The current ten day forecast shows a couple of dry days then a chance for some more good rain starting next week.
So long for now, check back often, as we are in the season and exciting things can happen any day!
The Weather Guy