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Visit Alamos Mexico  |  Community  |  Alamos Weather (Moderator: Weather Guy)  |  Topic: Hola Agatha ??
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Weather Guy
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« on: June 02, 2016, 09:57:08 AM »

The Hurricane season is upon us, as noted in the excerpt below from Dr. Masters' blog of May 13th, we can expect an average season.  With Invest 91E spinning up south of the Baja this week, Agatha is set to be our 1st named storm. Tracking predictions show no risk of landfall, but it is to early to guess how strong it may become. Note that Patricia has been removed from the list of names for Hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific.

"The 2016 Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially begins on Sunday, May 15, and should be quieter than the crazy 2015 season. Last year set a record for the most major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) ever recorded in the Eastern Pacific east of 140°W, with nine such storms (reliable records go back to 1971.) One of those 2015 hurricanes was Earth's strongest tropical cyclone ever measured, Hurricane Patricia of October 2015, which reached astonishing sustained wind speeds of 215 mph. The year 2016 should see fewer major hurricanes in the northeast Pacific, thanks to cooler sea surface temperatures (SSTs) ... from what appears to be an emerging La Niña event. The forecast for the 2016 Eastern Pacific hurricane season, issued on May 6 by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), predicted 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes.  The 2015 Northeast Pacific hurricane season (east of 140°W) featured 18 named storms, 13 hurricanes, and 9 major hurricanes."

Check back soon for last years rain data, 1 June thru 31 May, and update on Agatha,

The Weather Guy
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Weather Guy
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« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2016, 09:16:17 AM »

So far the system 91E has not achieved TS strength and will likely not become our 1st named storm.  However to the south 92E has spun up since yesterday and is given a 20% chance of landfall as a TS tomorrow south of Acapulco in Oaxaca. If so this system will become Agatha.

Stay tuned

The Weather Guy
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