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Visit Alamos Mexico  |  Community  |  Alamos Weather (Moderator: Weather Guy)  |  Topic: LOOK OUT for Hurricane Patricia ...
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Weather Guy
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« on: October 23, 2015, 06:51:46 AM »

Hurricane Patricia which reached TS strength just 2 days ago has strengthened to a Cat 5 storm overnight. With 200 MPH, yea that's right, 200, Patricia is already in the history book as one of the top three strongest hurricanes ever in the entire Western Hemisphere!  Predicted to make landfall south of Puerto Vallarta this afternoon the anticipated path will not threaten Sinaloa or Sonora. Farther North however, by late this weekend, the remainder of Patricia will be racing across southern Texas, with what may be a very serious flood threat for that region.

Here attached in Dr. Masters blog which is all about this storm.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3164

If you have interest in P.V. make sure you are prepared, evacuations in the lower areas have already begun. See here for this mornings lead story from Fox News.

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/10/23/tropical-storm-patricia-could-become-major-hurricane-warning-issued-for-mexico/?intcmp=hpbt1

Stayed tuned, this is the big one that I was concerned may come late this season, and it has!

The Weather Guy
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tom allen
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2015, 03:07:15 PM »

If you have any interest you can watch Patricia making landfall in Manzanilla

http://www.lamanzanilla.info/web_cam.htm
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Weather Guy
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2015, 08:41:42 PM »

Soon to be named TS Sandra is spinning up below Acapulco and while yet to be named at press time is predicted to reach Hurricane status this week.  Good catch by Mary Jo who found The Weather Chanel's blog on TD 22-E which predicts strengthening up to Cat 2 as possible, currently that possibility has backed down to only Cat 1.  However even as just a Tropical Storm, Sandra makes an impressive entry to the Record book and as a yet to be named Eastern Pacific storm, once again is the lead story for Dr. Masters blog noted here on in quotes.

"If Sandra does form this week, it will join last week's Tropical Storm Rick as one of the latest-forming tropical storms in the history of the Eastern Pacific. Since accurate records began in 1949 (with higher-quality satellite records beginning in 1971), the Eastern Pacific has seen only five tropical storms form after November 18:" ... "If 91E becomes a tropical storm and hits land, it will be the latest landfalling Eastern Pacific storm on record. (note: Dr. Masters blog was written prior to TD 22 having even formed yet !) This year has also beaten the onset year of the 1997-98 El Niño in terms of the span from the earliest to latest tropical cyclone in the Northeast Pacific. The season’s first storm of 2015, Andres, formed on May 28, four days earlier than Andrea in 1997. The last NE Pacific storm of 1997, also named Rick, formed on November 7, "

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3191

So much for the record book, what does this mean for us, and in this case for Los Cabos on the Baja, that will potentially get a butt kicking of a TS late this week, with the remaining TD headed toward the Mainland. Way to early to guess a point for landfall, but already we have an inch of rain predicted to fall here in Alamos for next weekend, with only moderate winds.  While normally TWG will wait for a system to be named before blogging, it is because this is such a fast moving storm and will play out very quickly, that folks need to be aware and should pay attention to it's progress.

Rain to date in Alamos is 24" in Centro with greater amounts around town. We have had, what can be viewed as, two winter rains so far. A summary of this years rain by month for next weeks post Sandra blog.

The Weather Guy
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